# Makerfield: election prediction

Labour hold, 80% likely. Reform UK: 20% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Andy Burnham (elected in 2024: Josh Simons)
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 52.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 43.2% | 45.2% |
| Reform UK | 34.7% | 31.8% |
| Restore Britain | 8.9% | – |
| Conservative | 6.0% | 10.9% |
| Green | 3.4% | 4.4% |
| Lib Dem | 2.9% | 6.8% |
| Independent | 1.0% | 0.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/makerfield), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/makerfield.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)