# Maidenhead: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 77% likely. Conservative: 23% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Joshua Reynolds
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 66.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 36.6% | 43.5% |
| Conservative | 30.6% | 37.6% |
| Labour | 14.1% | 11.5% |
| Green | 8.5% | 4.0% |
| Reform UK | 5.6% | – |
| Independent | 4.2% | 3.5% |
| Restore Britain | 0.4% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/maidenhead), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/maidenhead.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)