# Luton North: election prediction

Labour hold, 83% likely. Toqueer Shah: 12% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Sarah Owen
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 51.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 28.5% | 37.9% |
| Reform UK | 19.9% | 12.0% |
| Toqueer Shah | 17.2% | 21.7% |
| Conservative | 14.4% | 18.5% |
| Green | 12.8% | 5.0% |
| Lib Dem | 4.9% | 4.9% |
| Restore Britain | 2.3% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/luton-north), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/luton-north.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)