# Lincoln: election prediction

Labour hold, 93% likely. Reform UK: 7% chance.

- Region: East Midlands, England
- MP: Hamish Falconer
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 58.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 36.0% | 43.8% |
| Reform UK | 25.6% | 18.0% |
| Conservative | 15.3% | 23.0% |
| Green | 10.7% | 6.5% |
| Restore Britain | 6.0% | – |
| Lib Dem | 4.3% | 6.1% |
| Independent | 2.1% | 2.6% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/lincoln), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/lincoln.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)