# Lewes: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 91% likely. Conservative: 8% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: James MacCleary
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 69.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 37.2% | 50.6% |
| Conservative | 25.0% | 26.8% |
| Reform UK | 20.1% | 11.9% |
| Labour | 8.3% | 6.7% |
| Green | 5.2% | 3.5% |
| Restore Britain | 3.3% | – |
| Independent | 1.0% | 0.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/lewes), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/lewes.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)