# Lancaster and Wyre: election prediction

Labour hold, 98% likely.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Cat Smith
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 57.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 36.4% | 44.9% |
| Reform UK | 22.0% | 16.0% |
| Conservative | 17.9% | 23.4% |
| Green | 14.7% | 12.2% |
| Restore Britain | 4.1% | – |
| Lib Dem | 4.0% | 3.6% |
| Independent | 0.9% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/lancaster-and-wyre), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/lancaster-and-wyre.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)