# Kingston and Surbiton: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, >99% likely.

- Region: London, England
- MP: Ed Davey
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 65.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 40.1% | 51.1% |
| Conservative | 18.5% | 17.0% |
| Labour | 14.9% | 13.0% |
| Reform UK | 13.6% | 9.4% |
| Green | 10.0% | 5.9% |
| Restore Britain | 1.8% | – |
| Independent | 1.0% | 3.6% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/kingston-and-surbiton), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/kingston-and-surbiton.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)