# Kensington and Bayswater: election prediction

Labour hold, 87% likely. Conservative: 13% chance.

- Region: London, England
- MP: Joe Powell
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 54.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 36.8% | 40.6% |
| Conservative | 28.8% | 33.7% |
| Green | 13.1% | 6.5% |
| Reform UK | 10.4% | 6.0% |
| Lib Dem | 8.5% | 6.9% |
| Independent | 1.8% | 6.2% |
| Restore Britain | 0.6% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/kensington-and-bayswater), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/kensington-and-bayswater.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)