# Kenilworth and Southam: election prediction

Conservative hold, 95% likely. Labour: 4% chance.

- Region: West Midlands, England
- MP: Jeremy Wright
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 71.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 34.0% | 36.4% |
| Labour | 22.0% | 24.0% |
| Reform UK | 17.3% | 13.0% |
| Lib Dem | 13.5% | 19.6% |
| Green | 8.8% | 5.9% |
| Restore Britain | 2.7% | – |
| Independent | 1.7% | 1.1% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/kenilworth-and-southam), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/kenilworth-and-southam.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)