# Jarrow and Gateshead East: election prediction

Labour hold, 80% likely. Reform UK: 20% chance.

- Region: North East, England
- MP: Kate Osborne
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 52.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 38.3% | 51.3% |
| Reform UK | 31.3% | 26.9% |
| Restore Britain | 9.9% | – |
| Conservative | 8.3% | 9.1% |
| Green | 7.5% | 6.5% |
| Lib Dem | 3.6% | 4.7% |
| Independent | 1.1% | 1.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/jarrow-and-gateshead-east), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/jarrow-and-gateshead-east.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)