# Isle of Wight East: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Conservative, 50% likely. Conservative: 48% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Joe Robertson
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 61%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 27.9% | 20.8% |
| Conservative | 27.2% | 30.6% |
| Labour | 15.7% | 18.4% |
| Green | 13.8% | 18.5% |
| Lib Dem | 7.1% | 10.4% |
| Restore Britain | 6.6% | – |
| Independent | 1.6% | 1.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/isle-of-wight-east), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/isle-of-wight-east.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)