# Inverclyde and Renfrewshire West: election prediction

SNP gain from Labour, 74% likely. Labour: 26% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: Martin McCluskey
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 57.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| SNP | 33.9% | 31.1% |
| Labour | 27.3% | 46.9% |
| Reform UK | 15.7% | 6.1% |
| Conservative | 7.7% | 7.1% |
| Green | 6.1% | 2.9% |
| Lib Dem | 3.6% | 3.1% |
| Independent | 3.5% | 2.7% |
| Restore Britain | 2.2% | – |

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