# Horsham: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 60% likely. Conservative: 38% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: John Milne
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 70.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 30.0% | 39.0% |
| Conservative | 28.0% | 34.4% |
| Reform UK | 19.9% | 11.0% |
| Labour | 11.4% | 10.8% |
| Green | 6.1% | 3.9% |
| Restore Britain | 3.1% | – |
| Independent | 1.5% | 0.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/horsham), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/horsham.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)