# Hinckley and Bosworth: election prediction

Conservative hold, 87% likely. Reform UK: 13% chance.

- Region: East Midlands, England
- MP: Luke Evans
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 62.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 33.0% | 35.6% |
| Reform UK | 25.2% | 18.4% |
| Labour | 15.2% | 18.0% |
| Lib Dem | 14.4% | 24.3% |
| Restore Britain | 5.8% | – |
| Green | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Independent | 0.8% | 0.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/hinckley-and-bosworth), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/hinckley-and-bosworth.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)