# Heywood and Middleton North: election prediction

Labour hold, 51% likely. Reform UK: 49% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Elsie Blundell
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 50.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 31.4% | 40.6% |
| Reform UK | 31.2% | 24.2% |
| Conservative | 13.7% | 17.3% |
| Chris Furlong | 7.9% | 11.7% |
| Restore Britain | 7.8% | – |
| Lib Dem | 4.8% | 6.2% |
| Green | 3.3% | – |

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