# Hertford and Stortford: election prediction

Labour hold, 88% likely. Conservative: 8% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Joshua Robert Abraham Dean
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 68.4%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 32.5% | 38.5% |
| Conservative | 22.8% | 29.7% |
| Reform UK | 22.3% | 15.4% |
| Green | 10.7% | 8.1% |
| Lib Dem | 7.0% | 7.7% |
| Restore Britain | 3.8% | – |
| Independent | 0.9% | 0.5% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/hertford-and-stortford), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/hertford-and-stortford.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)