# Herne Bay and Sandwich: election prediction

Conservative hold, 52% likely. Reform UK: 40% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Roger Gale
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 62.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 29.9% | 35.3% |
| Reform UK | 29.4% | 21.7% |
| Labour | 22.7% | 30.2% |
| Green | 6.8% | 7.2% |
| Restore Britain | 6.5% | – |
| Lib Dem | 4.1% | 5.5% |
| Independent | 0.7% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/herne-bay-and-sandwich), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/herne-bay-and-sandwich.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)