# Hereford and South Herefordshire: election prediction

Conservative hold, 64% likely. Labour: 24% chance.

- Region: West Midlands, England
- MP: Jesse Norman
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 63.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 29.5% | 32.6% |
| Labour | 24.8% | 29.8% |
| Reform UK | 24.1% | 18.4% |
| Green | 8.0% | 7.0% |
| Lib Dem | 7.1% | 11.7% |
| Restore Britain | 5.4% | – |
| Independent | 1.1% | 0.5% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/hereford-and-south-herefordshire), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/hereford-and-south-herefordshire.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)