# Hemel Hempstead: election prediction

Labour hold, 83% likely. Reform UK: 14% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: David Taylor
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 62.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 32.3% | 38.2% |
| Reform UK | 25.7% | 17.4% |
| Conservative | 19.9% | 27.2% |
| Green | 8.3% | 5.6% |
| Lib Dem | 8.2% | 11.6% |
| Restore Britain | 4.8% | – |
| Independent | 0.6% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/hemel-hempstead), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/hemel-hempstead.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)