# Hayes and Harlington: election prediction

Labour hold, >99% likely.

- Region: London, England
- MP: John McDonnell
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 51.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 40.9% | 53.3% |
| Reform UK | 20.0% | 10.7% |
| Conservative | 19.3% | 21.9% |
| Green | 10.9% | 5.6% |
| Lib Dem | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Restore Britain | 2.7% | – |
| Independent | 1.9% | 5.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/hayes-and-harlington), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/hayes-and-harlington.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)