# Harwich and North Essex: election prediction

Conservative hold, 52% likely. Reform UK: 33% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Bernard Jenkin
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 63%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 29.3% | 34.4% |
| Reform UK | 27.9% | 20.4% |
| Labour | 23.6% | 32.0% |
| Green | 6.8% | 5.8% |
| Restore Britain | 6.4% | – |
| Lib Dem | 5.6% | 7.4% |
| Independent | 0.5% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/harwich-and-north-essex), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/harwich-and-north-essex.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)