# Hartlepool: election prediction

Labour hold, 64% likely. Reform UK: 36% chance.

- Region: North East, England
- MP: Jonathan Brash
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 49.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 34.6% | 46.2% |
| Reform UK | 31.6% | 24.5% |
| Conservative | 15.9% | 21.9% |
| Restore Britain | 9.6% | – |
| Green | 4.4% | 2.3% |
| Lib Dem | 1.9% | 1.6% |
| Independent | 1.9% | 3.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/hartlepool), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/hartlepool.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)