# Harrogate and Knaresborough: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 90% likely. Conservative: 11% chance.

- Region: Yorkshire and The Humber, England
- MP: Tom Gordon
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 66.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 38.8% | 46.1% |
| Conservative | 27.1% | 30.2% |
| Reform UK | 16.3% | 10.9% |
| Labour | 8.4% | 8.0% |
| Green | 5.4% | 3.4% |
| Restore Britain | 2.9% | – |
| Independent | 1.0% | 1.5% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/harrogate-and-knaresborough), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/harrogate-and-knaresborough.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)