# Harpenden and Berkhamsted: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 96% likely. Conservative: 4% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Victoria Collins
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 75.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 43.5% | 50.2% |
| Conservative | 26.6% | 30.5% |
| Reform UK | 12.3% | 7.8% |
| Labour | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Green | 6.8% | 3.6% |
| Restore Britain | 1.3% | – |
| Independent | 0.7% | 0.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/harpenden-and-berkhamsted), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/harpenden-and-berkhamsted.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)