# Harlow: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 58% likely. Labour: 39% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Chris Vince
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 58.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 31.8% | 21.8% |
| Labour | 29.8% | 37.6% |
| Conservative | 21.0% | 31.8% |
| Restore Britain | 7.3% | – |
| Green | 6.6% | 5.2% |
| Lib Dem | 2.8% | 3.1% |
| Independent | 0.7% | 0.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/harlow), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/harlow.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)