# Halifax: election prediction

Labour hold, 56% likely. Reform UK: 43% chance.

- Region: Yorkshire and The Humber, England
- MP: Kate Dearden
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 51.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 28.2% | 35.1% |
| Reform UK | 27.3% | 19.4% |
| Conservative | 15.6% | 19.6% |
| Green | 11.7% | 10.3% |
| Restore Britain | 6.7% | – |
| Independent | 5.4% | 9.7% |
| Lib Dem | 5.0% | 5.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/halifax), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/halifax.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)