# Great Grimsby and Cleethorpes: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 79% likely. Labour: 20% chance.

- Region: Yorkshire and The Humber, England
- MP: Melanie Onn
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 48.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 35.4% | 28.8% |
| Labour | 29.2% | 41.9% |
| Conservative | 15.7% | 22.6% |
| Restore Britain | 12.4% | – |
| Green | 4.0% | 3.0% |
| Lib Dem | 2.6% | 2.8% |
| Independent | 0.7% | 0.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/great-grimsby-and-cleethorpes), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/great-grimsby-and-cleethorpes.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)