# Grantham and Bourne: election prediction

Conservative hold, 74% likely. Reform UK: 23% chance.

- Region: East Midlands, England
- MP: Gareth Davies
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 62.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 31.6% | 36.4% |
| Reform UK | 26.9% | 20.4% |
| Labour | 20.2% | 26.6% |
| Green | 7.3% | 5.6% |
| Restore Britain | 6.7% | – |
| Independent | 3.8% | 6.7% |
| Lib Dem | 3.6% | 4.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/grantham-and-bourne), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/grantham-and-bourne.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)