# Gosport: election prediction

Conservative hold, 79% likely. Reform UK: 19% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Caroline Dinenage
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 60.4%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 33.0% | 40.3% |
| Reform UK | 27.1% | 18.0% |
| Labour | 20.7% | 26.6% |
| Restore Britain | 6.3% | – |
| Lib Dem | 5.7% | 9.1% |
| Green | 5.5% | 4.4% |
| Independent | 1.7% | 1.6% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/gosport), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/gosport.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)