# Gorton and Denton: election prediction

Green gain from Labour, 51% likely. Labour: 44% chance.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Hannah Spencer (elected in 2024: Andrew Gwynne)
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 47.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Green | 30.2% | 13.2% |
| Labour | 29.4% | 50.8% |
| Reform UK | 22.5% | 14.1% |
| Amir Burney | 7.6% | 10.3% |
| Conservative | 5.4% | 7.9% |
| Lib Dem | 3.0% | 3.8% |
| Restore Britain | 2.0% | – |

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