# Gloucester: election prediction

Labour hold, 74% likely. Reform UK: 23% chance.

- Region: South West, England
- MP: Alex McIntyre
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 57.5%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 31.2% | 36.1% |
| Reform UK | 26.7% | 16.0% |
| Conservative | 19.4% | 28.5% |
| Green | 8.0% | 5.0% |
| Restore Britain | 6.3% | – |
| Lib Dem | 5.8% | 10.4% |
| Independent | 2.6% | 4.0% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/gloucester), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/gloucester.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)