# Gainsborough: election prediction

Conservative hold, 74% likely. Reform UK: 22% chance.

- Region: East Midlands, England
- MP: Edward Leigh
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 61.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Conservative | 32.2% | 35.6% |
| Reform UK | 27.3% | 21.2% |
| Labour | 20.9% | 28.1% |
| Lib Dem | 6.9% | 10.7% |
| Restore Britain | 6.5% | – |
| Green | 5.6% | 3.9% |
| Independent | 0.7% | 0.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/gainsborough), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/gainsborough.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)