# Folkestone and Hythe: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Labour, 68% likely. Labour: 31% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Tony Vaughan
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 61.7%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 32.8% | 24.7% |
| Labour | 29.0% | 34.7% |
| Conservative | 18.2% | 26.1% |
| Green | 7.9% | 9.1% |
| Restore Britain | 7.5% | – |
| Lib Dem | 3.1% | 4.0% |
| Independent | 1.5% | 1.3% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/folkestone-and-hythe), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/folkestone-and-hythe.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)