# Fermanagh and South Tyrone: election prediction

Sinn Féin hold, 81% likely. UUP: 20% chance.

- Region: Northern Ireland, Northern Ireland
- MP: Pat Cullen
- 2024 winner: Sinn Féin, turnout 65.6%
- Updated 22 October 2026

Northern Ireland seats use the 2024 result with simulated swings.

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/fermanagh-and-south-tyrone), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/fermanagh-and-south-tyrone.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)