# Fareham and Waterlooville: election prediction

Reform UK gain from Conservative, 82% likely. Conservative: 16% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Suella Braverman
- 2024 winner: Conservative, turnout 65.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Reform UK | 32.5% | 18.1% |
| Conservative | 24.2% | 35.0% |
| Labour | 19.7% | 22.9% |
| Lib Dem | 11.5% | 19.0% |
| Restore Britain | 5.5% | – |
| Green | 5.4% | 4.1% |
| Independent | 1.3% | 0.9% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/fareham-and-waterlooville), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/fareham-and-waterlooville.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)