# Falkirk: election prediction

SNP gain from Labour, 81% likely. Labour: 18% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: Euan Stainbank
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 57.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| SNP | 33.3% | 31.3% |
| Labour | 24.7% | 43.0% |
| Reform UK | 18.3% | 7.9% |
| Conservative | 8.3% | 8.4% |
| Green | 6.3% | 4.0% |
| Independent | 3.3% | 2.8% |
| Lib Dem | 3.1% | 2.6% |
| Restore Britain | 2.7% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/falkirk), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/falkirk.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)