# Esher and Walton: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 93% likely. Conservative: 7% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Monica Harding
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 72.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 41.5% | 52.6% |
| Conservative | 27.2% | 30.3% |
| Reform UK | 14.3% | 8.9% |
| Labour | 7.9% | 5.3% |
| Green | 6.4% | 2.6% |
| Restore Britain | 1.4% | – |
| Independent | 1.4% | 0.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/esher-and-walton), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/esher-and-walton.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)