# Erith and Thamesmead: election prediction

Labour hold, >99% likely.

- Region: London, England
- MP: Abena Oppong-Asare
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 51.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 42.8% | 55.1% |
| Reform UK | 20.8% | 14.7% |
| Conservative | 13.7% | 13.8% |
| Green | 12.6% | 8.6% |
| Lib Dem | 5.1% | 4.6% |
| Restore Britain | 4.0% | – |
| Independent | 1.0% | 3.1% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/erith-and-thamesmead), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/erith-and-thamesmead.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)