# Erewash: election prediction

Labour hold, 65% likely. Reform UK: 33% chance.

- Region: East Midlands, England
- MP: Adam Thompson
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 60.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 32.4% | 40.1% |
| Reform UK | 29.4% | 21.3% |
| Conservative | 18.8% | 26.4% |
| Restore Britain | 7.7% | – |
| Green | 7.0% | 5.8% |
| Lib Dem | 3.8% | 5.6% |
| Independent | 0.9% | 0.8% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/erewash), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/erewash.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)