# Ely and East Cambridgeshire: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 61% likely. Conservative: 34% chance.

- Region: East of England, England
- MP: Charlotte Cane
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 66.2%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 28.0% | 32.7% |
| Conservative | 25.5% | 31.8% |
| Reform UK | 20.0% | 12.3% |
| Labour | 15.3% | 17.5% |
| Green | 6.6% | 4.5% |
| Restore Britain | 3.4% | – |
| Independent | 1.1% | 1.2% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/ely-and-east-cambridgeshire), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/ely-and-east-cambridgeshire.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)