# Ellesmere Port and Bromborough: election prediction

Labour hold, >99% likely.

- Region: North West, England
- MP: Justin Madders
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 59.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 43.3% | 57.6% |
| Reform UK | 23.6% | 17.3% |
| Conservative | 11.5% | 12.4% |
| Green | 9.0% | 6.4% |
| Restore Britain | 6.2% | – |
| Lib Dem | 5.3% | 5.5% |
| Independent | 1.1% | 0.6% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/ellesmere-port-and-bromborough), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/ellesmere-port-and-bromborough.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)
