# Edinburgh South: election prediction

Labour hold, 86% likely. SNP: 14% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: Ian Murray
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 66.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 31.8% | 53.3% |
| SNP | 23.5% | 16.5% |
| Green | 12.1% | 9.1% |
| Reform UK | 11.4% | 3.9% |
| Conservative | 9.6% | 8.5% |
| Lib Dem | 6.7% | 5.9% |
| Independent | 4.0% | 2.7% |
| Restore Britain | 0.9% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/edinburgh-south), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/edinburgh-south.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)