# Edinburgh South West: election prediction

SNP gain from Labour, 75% likely. Labour: 25% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: Scott Arthur
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 61.9%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| SNP | 30.9% | 27.3% |
| Labour | 24.6% | 40.9% |
| Reform UK | 13.1% | 4.6% |
| Conservative | 11.3% | 12.2% |
| Green | 10.0% | 7.6% |
| Lib Dem | 6.3% | 6.6% |
| Independent | 2.6% | 1.0% |
| Restore Britain | 1.2% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/edinburgh-south-west), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/edinburgh-south-west.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)