# Edinburgh North and Leith: election prediction

SNP gain from Labour, 73% likely. Labour: 26% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: Tracy Gilbert
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 63.1%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| SNP | 31.7% | 27.4% |
| Labour | 25.7% | 42.1% |
| Green | 13.7% | 10.9% |
| Reform UK | 10.2% | 3.7% |
| Lib Dem | 7.4% | 7.8% |
| Conservative | 7.3% | 6.6% |
| Independent | 3.1% | 1.5% |
| Restore Britain | 0.9% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/edinburgh-north-and-leith), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/edinburgh-north-and-leith.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)