# Edinburgh East and Musselburgh: election prediction

SNP gain from Labour, 88% likely. Labour: 12% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: Chris Murray
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 59.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| SNP | 35.9% | 33.1% |
| Labour | 24.5% | 41.2% |
| Green | 12.8% | 10.2% |
| Reform UK | 11.9% | 4.7% |
| Conservative | 6.5% | 5.7% |
| Lib Dem | 4.7% | 4.3% |
| Independent | 2.5% | 0.8% |
| Restore Britain | 1.3% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/edinburgh-east-and-musselburgh), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/edinburgh-east-and-musselburgh.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)