# Eastbourne: election prediction

Lib Dem hold, 92% likely. Conservative: 5% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Josh Babarinde
- 2024 winner: Lib Dem, turnout 62.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Lib Dem | 36.5% | 52.1% |
| Reform UK | 23.0% | 13.3% |
| Conservative | 22.2% | 25.3% |
| Labour | 7.8% | 5.9% |
| Green | 5.3% | 3.1% |
| Restore Britain | 4.2% | – |
| Independent | 1.1% | 0.3% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/eastbourne), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/eastbourne.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)