# East Thanet: election prediction

Labour hold, 70% likely. Reform UK: 29% chance.

- Region: South East, England
- MP: Polly Billington
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 57%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 33.1% | 39.9% |
| Reform UK | 29.3% | 20.1% |
| Conservative | 16.2% | 23.6% |
| Green | 9.5% | 10.7% |
| Restore Britain | 6.8% | – |
| Lib Dem | 2.8% | 3.2% |
| Independent | 2.4% | 2.4% |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/east-thanet), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/east-thanet.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)