# East Renfrewshire: election prediction

SNP gain from Labour, 69% likely. Labour: 31% chance.

- Region: Scotland, Scotland
- MP: Blair McDougall
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 67.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| SNP | 30.8% | 26.9% |
| Labour | 25.9% | 43.7% |
| Conservative | 15.4% | 16.9% |
| Reform UK | 14.4% | 4.7% |
| Green | 5.7% | 3.0% |
| Lib Dem | 3.3% | 2.3% |
| Independent | 3.2% | 2.5% |
| Restore Britain | 1.3% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/east-renfrewshire), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/east-renfrewshire.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)