# East Ham: election prediction

Labour hold, 95% likely. Tahir Mirza: 4% chance.

- Region: London, England
- MP: Stephen Timms
- 2024 winner: Labour, turnout 47.8%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Labour | 39.0% | 51.6% |
| Green | 20.9% | 11.2% |
| Tahir Mirza | 15.0% | 20.2% |
| Conservative | 10.6% | 10.2% |
| Reform UK | 9.1% | 3.5% |
| Lib Dem | 4.4% | 3.2% |
| Restore Britain | 0.9% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/east-ham), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/east-ham.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)