# Dwyfor Meirionnydd: election prediction

Plaid Cymru hold, >99% likely.

- Region: Wales, Wales
- MP: Liz Saville Roberts
- 2024 winner: Plaid Cymru, turnout 55.3%
- Updated 22 October 2026

| Party | Projected share | 2024 |
|---|---:|---:|
| Plaid Cymru | 52.7% | 53.9% |
| Reform UK | 16.4% | 12.0% |
| Conservative | 10.0% | 11.7% |
| Labour | 8.0% | 14.6% |
| Green | 6.3% | 3.6% |
| Lib Dem | 3.6% | 3.4% |
| Independent | 1.6% | 0.7% |
| Restore Britain | 1.4% | – |

[Full page](https://gbelects.com/seat/dwyfor-meirionnydd), [JSON](https://gbelects.com/api/seat/dwyfor-meirionnydd.json), [all seats](https://gbelects.com/seats.md)